Us wind installations sink to zero in q2




















Just the individuals that have sold out. There are many that work for this agency that are very dedicated and want to do the best possible job protecting our vanishing species. But even though their hands are tied, I still receive indirect feedback and know that many are cheering me on.

The first to go should be those sites most deadly to protected species. I know of many. Hello Jim, I have something interesting for you to check out about bird deaths from solar plants.

Furthermore, there seems to be an acceptance that there is due diligence in identifying where there are tortoises, burrowing owls and other ground animals. It takes years to come across the locations. Yet, environmental impact reports make it appear that habitats are in clear view over to 23, acres and that a negligable number of active nests are destroyed.

And just for money. I have been in the solar energy business since I started in thermal solar, then began doing primarily off-grid PV telecom power design and sales. Wind generators have always been a joke to me. Both the solar and wind energy industries have become just that — industries that have ridden this wave of global warming hysteria into a true, self-propelled problem.

In , despite slowdown in China, offshore capacity is expected to increase further thanks to higher deployment in the United Kingdom and France, and in other markets in Asia. With an extensive slate of projects supported by auctions, the United States is anticipated to become one of the largest offshore markets in Support policies and continuous cost reductions are expected to be the main drivers of wind deployment in the next five years. Competitive auctions dominate growth in all regions except China and the United States.

In the United States, the main stimulants are corporate PPAs, tax credits and renewable portfolio standards RPSs , and other revenue sources wholesale prices, green certificates, etc. In China, administratively set tariffs are expected to support almost all wind additions until , and after , tariffs for new onshore wind are set at provincial power benchmark prices. Globally, the transition from administratively set to competitively set remuneration policies is expected to accelerate in the next five years as costs continue to decline and the wind industry expands.

Thanks to advancements in turbine design, capacity factors are rising, making projects bankable even in areas with low wind speeds. In addition, wind farms are increasingly been built at lower-wind-speed sites.

Over , average annual wind additions could range from 65 GW in the main case to 90 GW in the accelerated case. Although they are becoming more cost-competitive, wind projects increasingly face permitting and social acceptance challenges in addition to policy uncertainties.

Faster wind capacity growth in the accelerated case would be possible with:. Faster net capacity growth of onshore wind also hinges on policies for repowering and refurbishment, especially in Europe and the United States. Repowering old turbines with new technology usually results in higher capacity and generation from fewer turbines, while taking advantage of existing grid infrastructure and land.

If supporting policies are introduced in a timely manner, repowering may provide an additional boost to onshore wind additions and mitigate the adverse effects of first-generation wind turbine retirement.

Although remuneration will be reduced for projects that miss the deadline, they can still come online next year. A deployment rush is therefore expected in the last quarter of , but some onshore projects are forecast to miss the deadline and become operational in For offshore wind, record capacity is expected to come online next year, in line with phaseout of the generous FiT.

In and , wind capacity additions are expected to decline with the phaseout of subsidies. Deployment will be stimulated by wind auctions in some provinces and by projects accepting year contracts at provincial power prices set administratively for all power generating technologies.

The economic attractiveness of these projects is lower, however, especially in provinces closer to demand centres where generation costs are higher due to limited wind resource availability and relatively expensive land. In addition, grid integration remains a challenge despite recent measures to reduce curtailment.

In the absence of subsidies, the return on investment for wind projects is expected to decrease, and higher curtailment risks could reduce their bankability further. In the accelerated case, wind additions average over 29 GW per year after , assuming that provincial auctions continue and the 14th Five-Year Plan proposes a new policy framework to support further wind development. The pace of additions is expected to decrease in and due to the PTC phase-down and a possible decline in the availability of tax equity, with both factors making projects less profitable.

The PTC phaseout schedule also affects additions beyond , although a small peak is forecast for , driven by the final PTC commissioning deadline for projects that qualified in Beyond tax incentives, state-level incentives such as RPSs and corporate power purchase agreements are expected to encourage onshore wind growth.

State RPSs represent a growth opportunity but also present challenges. The largest markets Texas, Iowa and Oklahoma have met their state-mandated targets and can still export across state lines, but segmented regional grids and RPS requirements to procure power from a regional power pool necessitate faster development of nascent and new markets.

States with low installed wind capacity have ample potential but could encounter barriers, including public opposition and land constraints. Smaller plant sizes and relatively low capacity factors compared with mature wind markets result in higher generation costs, even as the price of wind power continues to decline.

In the accelerated case, additional capacity expansion results from lower prices and greater corporate PPA and RPS demand, especially in states where wind capacity is currently limited. IEA forecasts have excluded an additional extension of the PTC, which could lead to higher deployment than in the accelerated case.

Along with federal permitting approvals, challenges to offshore wind projects in the United States include a lack of local policy clarity, insufficient transmission and harbour infrastructure, relatively high costs and social disapproval. Still, with a large amount of capacity already awarded, the United States is forecast to install more offshore wind capacity in than any other country in the world.

Five states are attempting to mitigate the risks by including offshore wind in their comprehensive energy plans: they organised eight offshore wind tenders totalling over 10 GW through , and awarded prices are beginning to match those of European offshore wind auctions over the same period. The success of these tenders has led to the planning of tenders for an additional over 10 GW of capacity, impacting growth beyond the forecast period.

In the first half of , India added only 0. Historically, the majority of annual construction activity in India has taken place in the first half of the year, before the monsoon season starts. Although this forecast expects construction activity to accelerate in the second half of , some projects will finish construction in , leading to a strong rebound. Wind auction undersubscriptions result from relatively high project risks due to revenue uncertainty, land acquisition challenges, weak grid infrastructure and low tariff ceilings in the auctions.

The removal of tariff ceilings, announced in March, may increase participation, enabling developers to fully incorporate perceived project risks into their bids.

Plus, the recent introduction of hybrid auctions could raise competition and spur higher participation, as developers can distribute project risks among various technologies.

Given the various challenges, annual wind capacity additions are expected to remain at the level 3. In the accelerated case, however, average annual additions could double with higher allocations in wind auctions accompanied by accelerated grid expansion and policies facilitating land acquisition.

Providing DISCOMs a sustainable solution to their financial challenges would also reduce off-taker risks, and the introduction of comprehensive, transparent and investor-friendly rules for signing private PPAs and enabling open grid access could spur higher investment independent from the auction system.

The Japanese wind market has started to expand significantly over the past few years and is set to accelerate further in In addition, the government is expected to award 1. ASEAN countries are expected to install 0. Viet Nam is expected to lead capacity growth from to 1. Additions are expected to decrease after due to a planned policy transition from FiTs to auctions in Viet Nam.

In Thailand and Indonesia, wind deployment remains stalled by the limited availability of suitable land and a lack of supporting policies. In the Philippines , capacity addition increases are anticipated from owing to the RPS scheme introduced this year. However, implementation of the scheme remains a forecast uncertainty. Although ASEAN offshore wind potential is vast, relatively high costs still prevent regional governments from supporting this technology.

ASEAN annual capacity additions over range from 1. Introducing support policies to provide stable, long-term remuneration for wind generators and reduce risks could significantly raise investment in the region in the accelerated case, boosting total wind capacity to 16 GW by — a more than sixfold increase.

The forecast therefore expects wind additions to decline in both and as a result of lower returns. Furthermore, potential connection delays and curtailment issues are raising project risks significantly, an element in the fact that no projects reached financial close in Q2 Beyond , corporate PPAs and merchant projects are expected to promote wind expansion in the absence of a new LRET and declining certificate prices.

The contraction results from slowdowns in offshore wind pipelines in the United Kingdom, Germany and Denmark; transitions to auctions for onshore wind in France and Italy; and sharp declines in Spain after a commissioning deadline boosted growth in These declines offset the growth seen in other markets such as the Netherlands, Norway and Poland. Applications aren't as demanding as airframe composites, but requirements are still exacting — passenger safety is key.

The matrix binds the fiber reinforcement, gives the composite component its shape and determines its surface quality. A composite matrix may be a polymer, ceramic, metal or carbon. Approaching rollout and first flight, the relies on innovations in composite materials and processes to hit its targets. Read Next U. Boeing Update Approaching rollout and first flight, the relies on innovations in composite materials and processes to hit its targets.

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